Title
Local Economic Performance and Election Outcomes
Abstract
This paper uses a logit model to test whether voters will alter their support for incumbents in state level elections, specifically gubernatorial and state house and senate elections, when local (i.e., county) economic conditions are observed. The results signify that voters do hold the incumbent party responsible for economic conditions. Furthermore, voters tend to place more emphasis on unemployment levels than on real personal income indicating that incumbent politicians might want to engage in policies that put people to work rather than on policies that raise income. The results also suggest that voters did not hold their state house and senate representative as responsible for local economic conditions as they did the governor.
Department(s)
Economics
Document Type
Article
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11293-006-9008-z
Publication Date
2006
Recommended Citation
Mitchell, David M., and Keith Willett. "Local economic performance and election outcomes." Atlantic Economic Journal 34, no. 2 (2006): 219.
Journal Title
Atlantic Economic Journal
