Modeling urban growth with geographically weighted multinomial logistic regression

Jun Luo, Missouri State University
Nagaraj Kapi Kanala, MSU Graduate Student


Spatial heterogeneity is usually ignored in previous land use change studies. This paper presents a geographically weighted multinomial logistic regression model for investigating multiple land use conversion in the urban growth process. The proposed model makes estimation at each sample location and generates local coefficients of driving factors for land use conversion. A Gaussian function is used for determine the geographic weights guarantying that all other samples are involved in the calibration of the model for one location. A case study on Springfield metropolitan area is conducted. A set of independent variables are selected as driving factors. A traditional multinomial logistic regression model is set up and compared with the proposed model. Spatial variations of coefficients of independent variables are revealed by investigating the estimations at sample locations.