Title

A graphical method for valuing switching options

Abstract

This paper introduces a graphical method for valuing options on real asset investments that allow the investor to switch between different operating modes at a single point-in-time. The technique uses mixtures of truncated exponential functions to approximate both the probability density function for project value and the expressions for option value of each alternative. The distribution for project value is transformed into an expected cash flow function for the option under each mode of operation. After determining an optimal exercise strategy, these functions are used to determine the option value. The graphical method allows the option exercise strategy to be communicated effectively through a graphical representation of the expected cash flow functions. A comparison of this approach to the existing binomial lattice method is presented. The efficiency of the graphical method is comparable to the binomial lattice and in some cases accurate solutions can be obtained with less CPU time.

Document Type

Article

DOI

https://doi.org/10.1057/jors.2009.128

Keywords

capital budgeting, decision analysis, decision support systems, finance, networks and graphs, probability

Publication Date

2010

Journal Title

Journal of the Operational Research Society

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